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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE OCT 11 2016
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Showers and thunderstorms have become a little more concentrated
near an elongated area of low pressure located about 900 miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula. This disturbance has the potential to become a tropical
depression before it moves west-northwestward over cooler waters in
2 or 3 days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent
2. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred
miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, are associated with a weak low
pressure system. Environmental conditions are expected to be
generally conducive for development, and a tropical depression
could form by the weekend while the low moves westward well to the
southwest of mainland Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent
Forecaster Blake
Original author: NHC
