Tropical Track & Forecast

Interactive - 5 Day Track Forecast Cone / Coastal Watches & Warnings


Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center

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Current Infrared Satellite Image

Courtesy of UW-Madison CIMSS Tropical Cyclones Research Group

2014 Tropical Cyclone Tracks

Courtesy of Unisys

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National Hurricane Center - Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Atlantic

    ABNT20 KNHC 302330

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2017

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

    This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of
    the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season. Routine issuance of the
    Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on June 1, 2018. During the
    off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
    conditions warrant.

    Forecaster Beven
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Latest Tropical Weather Outlook

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Probability of Formation 0-24hrs

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Probability of Formation 24-48hrs

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Graphical Tropical Weather Discussion

NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)

National Hurricane Center - Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
  • NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion

    AXNT20 KNHC 171803

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    203 PM EDT Sat Mar 17 2018

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1745 UTC.


    The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Africa near 09.5N13W
    to 05N19W. The ITCZ continues from that position to 02N30W and
    then extends to the coast of Brazil near 01N50W. Scattered
    showers and tstms are within 210 nm off the coast of Liberia,
    Africa and within 195 nm either side of the monsoon trough and
    ITCZ E of 35W.



    A surface ridge anchored by a 1021 mb high E of the northern
    Bahamas continue to provide gentle to moderate southeast winds,
    with seas 3 to 4 ft over the western half of the basin and 1 to 3
    ft in the eastern Gulf. Areas of sea fog and haze continue to be
    reported in the northwest Gulf. The ridge will shift east Sun
    night ahead of a cold front moving off the Texas coast offshore
    Texas Mon evening. The front will extend from the Florida Big Bend
    area to Tampico, Mexico Tue afternoon being reinforced by a push
    of cold air that will move off the Texas coast earlier that day.
    Fresh to strong winds and building seas over the northern Gulf
    will be associated with this second push of cold air that will
    merge with the leading front Tue evening. The merged front will
    sweep southeast of the Gulf by early Wed. Winds and seas diminish
    across the Gulf through late Wed as high pressure follows the
    front across the northern Gulf.


    The undersea volcano Kick 'em Jenny, located north of Grenada
    near 12.18N 61.38W, is in a state of unrest. The government of
    Grenada advises mariners to observe a 5 km / 3.1 nm exclusion
    zone around Kick 'em Jenny. Please see for further

    A ridge centered by a 1021 mb high east of the northern Bahamas
    is supporting fresh to strong trade winds over the south-central
    Caribbean, off the coast of northwestern Venezuela and
    northeastern Colombia. The latest scatterometer pass, however,
    show up to 30 kt winds along the coast of Colombia. Seas in this
    area remain 8 to 10 ft per the latest observations. Moderate to
    fresh trades are observed S of 17N over the eastern basin and remaining
    central Caribbean waters. Gentle to moderate winds are noted
    elsewhere with mostly 3 to 5 ft seas. Moderate trades are east of
    the Leeward and Windward Islands with buoy data indicating 8 to 10
    ft seas in northerly swell. Otherwise, moderate trades are in the
    Gulf of Honduras according to latest scatterometer data.

    The tail of a cold front is forecast to pass through the Yucatan
    Channel Wednesday morning. High pressure building behind the
    front in the Gulf of Mexico will allow fresh north-northeasterly winds
    in the NW basin Wed night through Thursday morning.


    A cold front extends from 30N57W to 28N63W to 30N70W accompanied
    by few showers, fresh to strong W to NW winds and seas of 8 to 12
    ft. A ridge anchored by a 1021 mb high just east of the northern
    Bahamas dominates the waters W of 65W S of the front and
    maintains generally light to gentle winds. Seas are 6 to 9 ft in
    open waters primarily due to northerly swell. The cold front will
    weaken as it shifts east to the central Atlc Sunday morning. W
    winds will increase north of 28N late Sun as low pressure moves
    off the Carolinas along with another cold front, shifting east of
    the area through Mon morning. Southerly winds will increase off
    northeast Florida and north of the Bahamas Mon evening, then
    increasing further to near gale force north of 27N with 8 to 12 ft
    seas by Tue night as a stronger low pressure system moves off the
    Carolina coast. The remnants of a former stationary front are
    analyzed as a surface trough that extends from 30N48W to 25N58W to
    north-central Hispaniola coast. Scattered showers are within 90 nm
    either side of the boundary N of 24N. Isolated showers are in the
    remainder southern portion of the trough. Over the eastern
    Atlantic, 1025 mb high pressure is centered near 28N27W, and this
    is maintaining gentle flow over the subtropics and moderate to
    fresh flow in the deep tropics.

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