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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SAT OCT 22 2016
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization in
association with an area of low pressure located about 350 miles
south of Acapulco, Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected to
be conducive for development of this low during the next few days,
and a tropical depression will likely form by early next week while
the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent
2. A small area of low pressure located about 750 miles south-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to
produce disorganized cloudiness and showers. Further development
of this system is unlikely due to strong upper-level winds while
the low drifts northward or northwestward over the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent
Forecaster Blake
Original author: NHC
