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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Jun 16 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue over the Bay of
Campeche and southern Mexico in association with a broad low
pressure area. This system will move little today and tonight, and
little if any development is expected during that time due to
interaction with land. However, the system should begin to move
northward on Thursday, and a tropical depression is likely to form
by late Thursday or on Friday when the low moves across the western
Gulf of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft
is scheduled to investigate the area on Thursday. Regardless of
development, heavy rainfall will continue over portions of Central
America and southern Mexico during the next few days. Heavy rains
should also begin to affect portions of the northern Gulf Coast on
Friday. Please consult products from your local meteorological
service for more information.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Forecaster Pasch
Original author: NHC
