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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Sep 29 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. A broad area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for slow development during the next
several days, and a tropical depression could form by the weekend
while the system moves generally westward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
2. A broad low pressure system located a few hundred miles south of
Manzanillo, Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and a few
thunderstorms, and environmental conditions are only marginally
conducive for development. The low is forecast to meander off
the coast of southwestern Mexico today and tonight, and then move
slowly toward the west-northwest at about 5 mph away from the coast
of Mexico on Thursday and Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Papin
Original author: NHC
