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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Aug 27 2022
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Central Tropical Atlantic:
An elongated area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave
over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean is producing some
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are
forecast to be generally favorable for some gradual development of
this system over the next several days, and a tropical depression
could form by the middle of next week as it moves west-northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph toward the waters east of the Leeward Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
2. Northwestern Caribbean Sea:
A trough of low pressure could develop over the northwestern
Caribbean Sea during the early or middle part of next week.
Environmental conditions could support some slow development of the
system thereafter while it moves generally west-northwestward over
the northwestern Caribbean Sea and toward the Yucatan Peninsula of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
3. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa
early next week. Some gradual development of the system is possible
during the middle of next week while it moves generally westward
across the far eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Reinhart
Original author: NHC
