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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Aug 30 2022
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Central Tropical Atlantic:
An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles east
of the Lesser Antilles is producing a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Although environmental conditions are
only marginally conducive, some gradual development of this system
is expected over the next several days and a tropical depression is
likely to form later this week or this weekend. The disturbance is
forecast to move slowly toward the west and then west-northwest at 5
to 10 mph, toward the adjacent waters of the northern Leeward
Islands. Additional information on this system can be found in High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave accompanied by a broad area of low pressure is
located off the west coast of Africa. Some gradual development is
possible, and the system could become a short-lived tropical
depression over the far eastern Atlantic during the next few days.
By late this week, environmental conditions are forecast to become
increasingly unfavorable for further development. Regardless, the
system could bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Cabo
Verde Islands on Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
Forecaster Reinhart
Original author: NHC
