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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Sep 27 2022
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. South of the Southern Coast of Mexico:
An area of low pressure located south of the southern coast of
Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a
tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days while
the system moves westward to west-northwestward off the coast of
southern and southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
2. Western East Pacific:
The remnants of Newton are located nearly 1,000 miles southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Bursts of shower
and thunderstorm activity associated with the low has shown signs of
organization today. Some additional slight development of the system
is possible for the next day or two and it could briefly become a
tropical depression again while it moves generally westward over the
western portion of the eastern North Pacific. Environmental
conditions are expected to become less conducive for additional
development by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
Forecaster D. Zelinsky
Original author: NHC
