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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Jun 18 2023
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to become better organized in
association with a broad area of low pressure located several
hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for additional development, and a
tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form over the
next day or so. This system is forecast to move westward at 15 to 20
mph across the central tropical Atlantic with further development
through the middle part of the week. Additional information on this
system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Another area of showers and thunderstorms a few hundred miles south
of the Cabo Verde Islands is associated with a tropical wave that
recently emerged off the coast of Africa. While this activity is
currently disorganized, some slow development of this system is
possible through the middle to latter part of this week as the
system moves westward at about 15 mph across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
Forecaster Papin
Original author: NHC
