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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Oct 6 2023
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Lidia, located several hundred miles south of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula.
1. South of Southern Mexico (EP99):
An area of low pressure is centered about 250 miles southwest of
the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Shower and thunderstorm activity
is showing signs of becoming better organized. Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development
during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to
form late this weekend or early next week. The disturbance is
forecast to move slowly west-northwestward for the next two days,
and then turn northward and move closer to the southern coast of
Mexico on Sunday and Monday. Regardless of development, this system
could produce heavy rainfall along portions of the coast of
southwestern Mexico through early next week and interests in this
area should monitor the disturbance's progress.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
Forecaster Delgado/D. Zelinsky
Original author: NHC