NHC Atlantic Outlook

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Sep 26 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center has re-initiated advisories on Tropical Storm Kirk, located a few hundred miles east of the Windward Islands. 1. A weak low pressure area located about 100 miles southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, is producing disorganized shower activity, well to the east of the center. Strong upper-level winds are expected to inhibit development of this system. The low is forecast to move northeastward this morning, and it could produce scattered showers and dangerous surf and rip currents across eastern North Carolina as it passes by. The low is expected to continue moving northeastward and merge with a frontal system or dissipate offshore of the New England coast on Thursday. For more information, please see products from your local National Weather Service office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. 2. Post-Tropical Cyclone Leslie located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Azores is producing disorganized shower activity and gale-force winds. Leslie is expected to reacquire subtropical or tropical characteristics on Thursday or Friday while the cyclone meanders over the north-central Atlantic. For more information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Public Advisories on Kirk are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Kirk are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. Forecaster Pasch
Original author: NHC
NHC Atlantic Outlook
September 26, 2018

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