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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Oct 17 2018
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Satellite-derived winds and surface observations indicate that an
elongated low pressure system is located about 100 miles south of
the Mexico-Guatemala border. Although associated showers and
thunderstorms remain disorganized, environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical
depression or a tropical storm is likely to form during the next
day or two. The system is forecast to move generally toward the
west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph for the next several days, near or
just offshore the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
2. A weak and nearly stationary area of low pressure located about
900 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula continues to produce disorganized shower activity. Any
development should be slow to occur while the system drifts
northward or north-northeastward during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
Forecaster Stewart
Original author: NHC
