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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Nov 2 2018
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of
organization in association with a well-defined low pressure system
centered more than 600 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja
California Peninsula. A tropical depression is likely to form
during the next day or so while the system moves slowly
northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
2. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located about 1600 miles southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula remain disorganized. Upper-level
winds are becoming less conducive, and any development should be
slow to occur while the disturbance moves toward the west or
west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
3. An area of disturbed weather is located about 1000 miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some
development of this system is possible, although it could be limited
due to the proximity of the larger disturbance to the east.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
Forecaster Beven
Original author: NHC
